Friday, June 8

ID-Creationism really does make otherwise-smart people very dumb

Michael Behe has produced another dreck of a book, The Edge of Evolution: sThe Search for the Limits of Darwinism, which PZ has already taken a stab at (part 1, part 2) and Mark Chu-Carroll shreds the probability argument of. Now, the poor man is pummeled in peer-reviewed literature on his own turf -- biochemistry, by Sean B. Carroll. The sorts of errors he makes, in his own field, in arguing against evolution are nothing short of humiliating:

This lack of quantitative thinking underlies a second, fatal blunder resulting from the mistaken assumptions Behe makes about protein interactions. The author has long been concerned about protein complexes and how they could or, rather, could not evolve. He argues that the generation of a single new protein-protein binding site is extremely improbable and that complexes of just three different proteins "are beyond the edge of evolution." But Behe bases his arguments on unfounded requirements for protein interactions. He insists, based on consideration of just one type of protein structure (the combining sites of antibodies), that five or six positions must change at once in order to make a good fit between proteins--and, therefore, good fits are impossible to evolve. An immense body of experimental data directly refutes this claim.

Very simple calculations indicate how easily such motifs evolve at random. If one assumes an average length of 400 amino acids for proteins and equal abundance of all amino acids, any given two-amino acid motif is likely to occur at random in every protein in a cell. (There are 399 dipeptide motifs in a 400-amino acid protein and 20 mult 20 = 400 possible dipeptide motifs.) Any specific three-amino acid motif will occur once at random in every 20 proteins and any four-amino acid motif will occur once in every 400 proteins. That means that, without any new mutations or natural selection, many sequences that are identical or close matches to many interaction motifs already exist. New motifs can arise readily at random, and any weak interaction can easily evolve, via random mutation and natural selection, to become a strong interaction (9). Furthermore, any pair of interacting proteins can readily recruit a third protein, and so forth, to form larger complexes. Indeed, it has been demonstrated that new protein interactions (10) and protein networks (11) can evolve fairly rapidly and are thus well within the limits of evolution.

Is it possible that Behe does not know this body of data? Or does he just choose to ignore it? Behe has quite a record of declaring what is impossible and of disregarding the scientific literature, and he has clearly not learned any lessons from some earlier gaffes. He has again gone "public" with assertions without the benefit (or wisdom) of first testing their strength before qualified experts.
Should we really be surprised that the creationists' arguments are getting worse and worse, and their arguments poorer and poorer? How could they not, given the slow steady advance of knowledge that further shores the validity of evolution every day?

We see unbelievable stupidity crop up like this again with the Disco Institute's new "textbook".

I noted that Ralph Seelke is one of the authors of this"textbook" put out by the Disco Institute in an attempt to supplant quality texts (like Miller's) with their own dreck, to circumvent the issue of promoting creationism by substituting science with BS. He testified in the KS Kangaroo Court hearings, and so I checked out his webpage, which contains some materials which advertise his Christian background and anti-evolutionary positions. I was blown away with the paucity of his argumentation to reject evolutionary biology.

Note, in particular, his Why I am a doubter of evolution- 11/06. On slide six, he says:
•The main way evolution works is through random processes at low probability- ~ 1 in a million is a common probability that a mutation might occur.
•So if you need one mutation, the odds are one in a million; if you need TWO- the odds are now one in a TRILLION!!!
Unbelievable. I can't believe this man is a tenured professor.

First issue -- the only time you multiply probabilities is when they are independent, which is obviously not the case in something like a frameshift mutation or gene duplication.

Second -- 1 in a million is the probability that *A* mutation might occur? This is absolutely ridiculous. What he means is that this is the probability for a mutation *for each nucleotide*. And, considering that there are 3B of them in humans, this corresponds to 3000 mutations in each genome. Then, remember that this is per replication event = per cell.

How many cells are there in the body...how many replication events per cell...?

Hopefully you get the picture here.

This is such a bad argument I really couldn't believe that this man is a professor of anything, much the less microbiology!

From the peer-reviewed literature:
Many previous estimates of the mutation rate in humans have relied on screens of visible mutants. We investigated the rate and pattern of mutations at the nucleotide level by comparing pseudogenes in humans and chimpanzees to (i) provide an estimate of the average mutation rate per nucleotide, (ii) assess heterogeneity of mutation rate at different sites and for different types of mutations, (iii) test the hypothesis that the X chromosome has a lower mutation rate than autosomes, and (iv) estimate the deleterious mutation rate. Eighteen processed pseudogenes were sequenced, including 12 on autosomes and 6 on the X chromosome. The average mutation rate was estimated to be approximately 2.5 x 10(-8) mutations per nucleotide site or 175 mutations per diploid genome per generation. Rates of mutation for both transitions and transversions at CpG dinucleotides are one order of magnitude higher than mutation rates at other sites. Single nucleotide substitutions are 10 times more frequent than length mutations. Comparison of rates of evolution for X-linked and autosomal pseudogenes suggests that the male mutation rate is 4 times the female mutation rate, but provides no evidence for a reduction in mutation rate that is specific to the X chromosome. Using conservative calculations of the proportion of the genome subject to purifying selection, we estimate that the genomic deleterious mutation rate (U) is at least 3. This high rate is difficult to reconcile with multiplicative fitness effects of individual mutations and suggests that synergistic epistasis among harmful mutations may be common.
You really do have to be dumb to reject evolution these days. There's just too much evidence for any other explanation.
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The "Intelligent Designer" is kinda dumb...

Since He...uh, I mean, it, put nervous system genes in sea sponges.

Obviously, evolutionary change explains this very well -- the components necessary for nervous systems must have been present as precursors in our ancient ancestors. The idea is that co-option, or exaptation, confers upon existing genes new functions. Why do sea sponges need them if God "designed" everything that way? For those animals that have no need for the function, why in the hell would they need the genes, if they were specially created? There is no logical answer.

Ed has an excellent discussion of this.
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Big surprise: 2/3 of Americans believe in a bronze-age myth

From the latest USA Today/Gallup poll: 66% of people think that 6-day creationism is "definitely" or "probably" true. *sigh*

Is it surprising, given how many people in our society are scientifically illiterate? For Zeus' sakes, 30% don't know that the earth orbits the sun, instead of the other way around!?!?!?! Why do we care what the "average American" thinks of evolution or any other scientific concept, given such crass ignorance?

I was surprised to see that only 15% would let a presidential candidate's pro-science stance hurt them, while 30% say that creationism would hurt that candidate's credentials.
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Thursday, June 7

Perhaps Bush mentioned the missiles to Putin to distract from climate change?

I can't think of a better way to get everyone's mind off his rejection of Blair's proposal and further solidifying his intention to do nothing about global warming.
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Interesting Parallel

And one I'd never considered before: that between feminism and atheism.

From Jessica Valenti's new Full Frontal Feminism (p.6):


Sound familiar? People consistently ask why freethought/atheist groups exist, and what motivates people to join them (FAQ #4, 6). Honestly, this is a very valid question, and some people disagree that there is an equally valid answer.

And then she says (p.7):


Admittedly, this is slightly out-of-context. She's talking about the stuff women are taught regarding feminism being untrue, not about gods.

But there are many parallels, if you think about it. Feminists and atheists are generally maligned and stereotyped as angry, snobbish, and politically dangerous to people's liberties. These falsehoods are useful rhetorical tools for demagogues like Religious Right leaders.

So perhaps freethougtht groups ought to carefully monitor just how modern feminists get people involved and enthused about their causes. We could learn something from them...

food for thought.
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Time to repeal failed "don't ask, don't tell" policy

See this, and watch the video.

I like the vacuity of logic in what Giuliani said, how it's "not the time" for this policy to be revised, in the middle of the war. WTF? It matters most right now to keep patriotic Americans who have crucial skills that keep our troops alive, rather than kicking them out for what they do in the bedroom. It won't matter in a time of peace, Rudy. Moron.
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Boy, do I feel for them *muffles laughter*

Those poor ol' anti-choicers, who want to control women's medical decisions, they're having a tough time these days:

As they gathered Tuesday for a national strategy session, anti-abortion activists faced an unexpected revolt in their own ranks.

Some of the biggest groups in the movement, including Focus on the Family and National Right to Life, are under attack from fellow activists who accuse them of turning the cause into a money-grubbing industry.
Nooooo...surely not! Surely Dobson and the Religious Right have no interest in money, since Jesus went on and on about how hard it was for a rich man to get into heaven and the Bible says the love of money is the root of all kinds of evil! Falwell's ministries only pulled down a paltry $200M / annum, and Dobson only makes around $300 K himself in his $200M FoF empire (plus $30M for the FoF "Action" political branch), just chump change.

They are also "pro-life", after all, so much so that they don't want the sperm of AIDS-infected persons to suffocate in a rubber, but be liberated to make more little born-again babies!

Read more at the WaPo. HT: DefCon

***UPDATE: You have to read this to believe it. Christian anti-choice group American Life League's youth outreach director says, QUOTE, "It is shameful that Christians would rally around the physical needs of the poor." OMGZ

This idiot needs to go read his Bibbel.***
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Wednesday, June 6

"Calling all frauds, calling all frauds..."

The "Creation Museum" is looking for a geologist Ph.D. with a decided lack of integrity and scientific understanding.
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Monday, June 4

What I Don't Understand About Iraq & Terrorism

How stupid are people when things like the JFK plot happen, and yet they turn around and look at you with a straight face and say, "We're fighting them there [Iraq] so we won't have to fight them here," or, "If we leave [Iraq], they'll follow us home..." ???

Wake up morons.

Terrorists didn't stop trying to do things in the US when we invaded Iraq. Instead, Iraq gave them a "cause célèbre" to increase their recruiting and funding for missions both domestic and foreign. So it helps them "follow us home" and weakens our ability to "fight them here."
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Sunday, June 3

Shannon Spaulding: Valedictorian != Intelligent

This is a gem. A local HS graduation is turned into a revival by the class valedictorian.

"I want to tell you that Jesus Christ can give you eternal life in heaven," Spaulding said before the crowd. "If we die with that sin on our souls, we will immediately be pulled down to hell to pay the eternal price for our sins ourselves."
She says that, then exposes the vacuity of her skull by following up with:
Spaulding told Channel 4 she was not aware of the controversy and stands behind everything she said.

"I was not trying to force anything on anybody. I just wanted to tell them something I knew was important to me and wanted to have them a chance to hear," Spaulding said.
Riiiiiight...masochists out there can listen to the whole 20 minutes of mind-numbing regurgitation of her childhood indoctrination sessions here. What's hilarious is imagining if an atheist got up and spent their 20 mins talking about the mythological roots of Christianity and the nonexistence of god. The RR would storm the stage and fire every superintendent in sight.
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